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EARLY LINE 2012
Updated: Jan. 10, 2012
The way candidacies get going is people hear about
them on the Grapevine
STATEWIDE
| Office |
Leading Democrats |
Leading Republicans |
Rundown |
| Senate |
Tom Carper |
Kevin Wade |
Carper could have the safest seat in the
U.S. Senate. The U.Va. Center for Politics ranked
the odds for a turnover as "not gonna happen" |
| House |
John Carney |
Tom Kovach |
Carney is a popular
Democrat in a blue state but just a
first-termer, so it is probably now or never to
get him. Either way, Kovach is a lucky man,
sprung from that New Castle County Council
wasteland |
| Governor |
Jack Markell |
Jeff Cragg |
Like the guy who beat Carney in a primary is
going to be the first governor since 1976 to
lose re-election? Cragg gets credit for taking
one for his party |
| Lt Gov |
Matt Denn |
Sher Valenzuela |
As goes Markell, so goes
Denn. No worries |
| Insurance Commissioner |
Karen Weldin Stewart
Mitch Crane |
Ben Mobley |
It is never good when someone runs against
an old boss, as Crane is doing against Stewart.
The Democrats with their infighting are doing
what they can to give this office away |
Incumbents in bold
GENERAL ASSEMBLY
Senate now:
14 Democrats, 7 Republicans
House of
Representatives now: 26 Democrats, 15 Republicans
| District |
Leading Democrats |
Leading Republicans |
Rundown |
| Senate 4th northern New Castle County |
Mike Katz |
Greg Lavelle |
To flip the Senate, the Republicans need to
win this district with its favorable
registration. They like their chances with
Lavelle, the House minority leader who was
redistricted out of his own seat |
| Senate 8th Hockessin-Newark |
Dave Sokola |
Liane Sorenson |
Redistricting threw Sokola in with Sorenson,
the minority whip. Registration leans his way,
but it is essentially her old district |
| Senate 11th south Newark-Glasgow |
Tony DeLuca Bryan Townsend |
Evan Queitsch |
De Luca drew himself a nice little
Democratic district, but the forces are
marshaling against him, anyway |
| Senate 12th New Castle-below the canal |
|
Dori Connor |
Connor is part of that endangered species,
pro-labor Republicans, and she could be tested,
running in some unfamiliar territory with the
registration lopsidedly Democratic |
| Senate 6th Lewes-Rehoboth-Dewey-Milton |
Andy Staton |
Ernie Lopez Glen Urquhart |
This is a new district that should go
Republican, unless a primary gets the
Republicans to do themselves in |
| Senate 20th Bethany-Fenwick
Island-Millsboro |
George Howard Bunting |
|
Whenever 67-year-old Bunting retires, the
Republicans are ready to pounce |
| Senate 21st Seaford-Laurel |
Bob Venables |
|
Ditto for 78-year-old Venables |
| House 22nd Hockessin-Pike Creek Valley |
|
Nick Manolakos Joe Miro |
Redistricting combined Manolakos and Miro in
one of the last surviving Republican districts.
May the best Republican win |
| House 11th Southern New Castle
County-northern Kent County |
|
|
A new district where both parties are trying
to come to terms with its split county
personality |
| House 20th Lewes-Milton |
|
|
Another new district |
Incumbents in bold
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